Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 20.990735 24.190880 27.640709 31.627076 36.096985 40.944844 46.590572
2025-10-12 16.339825 20.976556 26.435197 33.289455 41.615752 51.349386 63.531687
2025-10-19 13.039407 18.253173 24.833562 33.643439 45.010381 59.052937 77.565566
2025-10-26 10.734238 16.184972 23.482414 33.786873 47.752087 65.784976 90.553214
2025-11-02 8.857654 14.295186 21.974146 33.343772 49.430359 71.011096 101.706472
2025-11-09 7.372034 12.681256 20.559933 32.741917 50.659604 75.527487 112.002889
2025-11-16 6.166429 11.275841 19.222833 32.018500 51.524586 79.449004 121.561070
2025-11-23 5.075506 9.865843 17.671382 30.746492 51.378564 81.801115 128.901101
2025-11-30 4.624973 9.456847 17.636462 31.784729 54.736600 89.383637 144.145032
2025-12-07 4.243218 9.105656 17.639888 32.851560 58.170071 97.224129 160.128998
2025-12-14 3.647270 8.261674 16.691947 32.221946 58.801747 100.767614 169.745494
2025-12-21 3.099427 7.418732 15.636143 31.280783 58.805993 103.268751 177.806691
2025-12-28 2.966800 7.428747 16.200924 33.348810 64.188131 114.910658 201.268764
2026-01-04 2.788939 7.323757 16.551113 35.089939 69.192163 126.324712 225.139130
2026-01-11 2.483858 6.883632 16.188393 35.460560 71.804359 133.932029 243.240510
2026-01-18 2.198737 6.433739 15.742067 35.610661 74.003335 140.932965 260.655290
2026-01-25 1.901231 5.892896 15.028498 35.147102 75.009436 145.906484 274.874746
2026-02-01 1.633667 5.370064 14.278073 34.517387 75.626402 150.193943 288.085396
2026-02-08 1.395884 4.872540 13.511008 33.760384 75.914135 153.872387 300.370228
2026-02-15 1.159040 4.319655 12.530594 32.429050 74.942340 155.178407 308.504431
2026-02-22 1.083404 4.226092 12.644938 33.515736 78.897292 165.724540 333.517327
2026-03-01 1.015292 4.141369 12.769348 34.632112 82.978328 176.690501 359.728391
2026-03-08 0.874403 3.787461 12.153321 33.973287 83.301680 180.554049 373.150651